Determinants of Students' Completion Rate in Institutions of Higher Learning: A Case Study of Bishop Stuart University, Mbarara: A cross-sectional, concurrent mixed-methods study.

Authors

  • Dr. Johnson Atwiine Faculty of Business, Economics and Governance, Bishop Stuart University, Mbarara, Uganda Author
  • Patience Ainembabazi Faculty of Business, Economics and Governance, Bishop Stuart University, Mbarara, Uganda Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.51168/bj620w47

Keywords:

student completion rate, attrition, dropout, higher education, institutional support, Uganda, Bishop Stuart University, College Fit Theory

Abstract

Background:

Student attrition in sub-Saharan African higher education constitutes a persistent challenge, and Bishop Stuart University (BSU) recorded a non-completion rate of approximately 27.2% among students admitted to its Faculty of Business, Economics and Governance in 2019/2020. The institutional and individual determinants of this attrition haven’t previously been empirically investigated at BSU.

Objectives:

This study sought to (i) examine institutional factors influencing student completion rates and (ii) identify individual student characteristics that predict or impede timely degree completion at BSU.

Methods:

A concurrent mixed-methods, cross-sectional design was adopted. A structured questionnaire was administered to 115 students selected through stratified random and systematic random sampling from a population of 5,400 students. Qualitative data were generated through in-depth interviews with four key institutional informants. Quantitative data were analysed using SPSS Version 21 (descriptive statistics and Pearson chi-square tests); qualitative data underwent thematic analysis following Braun and Clarke's (2006) framework. Methodological triangulation was employed to enhance the rigour and credibility of findings.

Results:

Satisfaction with academic support services was significantly associated with students' perception of adequate institutional support (χ²=18.73, p=0.016), and utilisation of such services was linked to higher institutional ratings (χ²=12.45, p=0.014). Full-time employment was significantly correlated with severe financial burden (χ²=21.30, p=0.006), while the perceived importance of academic success strongly predicted motivation to complete (χ²=28.94, p<0.001). Qualitative findings revealed systemic gaps in proactive student monitoring, inconsistent engagement strategies, technological deficits, and reactive rather than preventive identification of at-risk students.

Conclusions:

Completion rates are shaped by the dynamic interaction of individual and institutional factors. Institutional responsiveness manifested through accessible academic support, financial aid, reliable infrastructure, and inclusive policy implementation is as critical as individual motivation and financial resilience.

Recommendation:

Evidence-based early-alert systems, structured engagement programmes, and participatory policy design are urgently recommended to reduce attrition, particularly in resource-constrained Ugandan higher education contexts.

References

1. Aguti, J. N., Nakibuuka, D., & Kajumbula, R. (2009). Determinants of student dropout from two external degree programmes of Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda. Makerere University.

2. Al-Samarrai, S., & Bennell, P. (2007). Where has all the education gone in sub-Saharan Africa? Employment and other outcomes among secondary school and university leavers. The Journal of Development Studies, 43(7), 1270–1300. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220380701526271

3. Bishop Stuart University. (2016). Human resources report. Mbarara: BSU.

4. Bishop Stuart University. (2020). Admission report 2019/2020 academic year. Mbarara: BSU Academic Registrar's Office.

5. Bishop Stuart University. (2023). 19th graduation ceremony handbook. Mbarara: BSU.

6. Braun, V., & Clarke, V. (2006). Using thematic analysis in psychology. Qualitative Research in Psychology, 3(2), 77–101. https://doi.org/10.1191/1478088706qp063oa

7. Carey, K. (2004). A matter of degrees: Improving graduation rates in four-year colleges and universities. Education Trust.

8. Carmines, E. G., & Zeller, R. A. (1991). Reliability and validity assessment. SAGE Publications.

9. Creswell, J. W., & Plano Clark, V. L. (2011). Designing and conducting mixed methods research (2nd ed.). SAGE Publications.

10. Deci, E. L., & Ryan, R. M. (1985). Intrinsic motivation and self-determination in human behavior. Plenum Press. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4899-2271-7

11. Field, A. (2005). Discovering statistics using SPSS (2nd ed.). SAGE Publications.

12. Field, A. (2009). Discovering statistics using SPSS (3rd ed.). SAGE Publications.

13. Greenough, W. T. (2003). College fit and its relationship to student outcomes. Journal of College Student Development, 44(1), 1–15.

14. Hatfield, C. L. (2013). Factors that influence student completion of course and faculty evaluations. Currents in Pharmacy Teaching and Learning, 5(3), 225–228. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cptl.2013.01.014

15. Heide, S., Pante, S. V., Fleig, A., & Möltner, A. (2019). Individual and institutional influencing factors on completion rates in a medical education master's program in Germany. GMS Journal for Medical Education, 36(5), Doc55. https://doi.org/10.3205/zma001261

16. Kraemer, H. C. (1994). Measures of association: Developmental and statistical methods. In H. T. Blumenthal & J. C. Eisele (Eds.), Handbook of aging and medicine (pp. 23–40). Greenwood Press.

17. Krejcie, R. V., & Morgan, D. W. (1970). Determining sample size for research activities. Educational and Psychological Measurement, 30(3), 607–610. https://doi.org/10.1177/001316447003000308

18. Marginson, S. (2006). Dynamics of national and global competition in higher education. Higher Education, 52(1), 1–39. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10734-004-7649-x

19. Marks, G. N. (2007). Completing university: Characteristics and outcomes of completing and non-completing students. Australian Council for Educational Research. https://research.acer.edu.au/lsay_research/55

20. Materu, P. N. (2007). Higher education quality assurance in sub-Saharan Africa: Status, challenges, opportunities and promising practices (World Bank Working Paper No. 124). World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-0-8213-7272-2

21. Mbukusa, N. R. (2009). Barriers to remote rural students' access to distance education support services offered by the Centre for External Studies at the University of Namibia [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Namibia.

22. Millea, M., Wills, R., Elder, A., & Molina, D. (2018). What matters in college student success? Determinants of college retention and graduation rates. Education, 138(4), 309–322.

23. Murray, M. (2014). Factors affecting graduation and student dropout rates at the University of KwaZulu-Natal. South African Journal of Science, 110(11/12), 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1590/sajs.2014/20140008

24. New Vision. (2023, March 12). Universities urged to address dropout rates. New Vision Newspaper, Kampala.

25. Ompoc, S., & Base, R. L. (2021). Factors associated with students' completion in the Master's and Doctor of Philosophy in Educational Planning and Management. International Journal of Education and Practice, 91(1), 16–16. https://doi.org/10.47119/IJRP1009111220212615

26. Robbins, S. B., Lauver, K., Le, H., Davis, D., Langley, R., & Carlstrom, A. (2004). Do psychosocial and study skill factors predict college outcomes? A meta-analysis. Psychological Bulletin, 130(2), 261–288. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-2909.130.2.261

27. Ryan, R. M., & Deci, E. L. (2000). Intrinsic and extrinsic motivations: Classic definitions and new directions. Contemporary Educational Psychology, 25(1), 54–67. https://doi.org/10.1006/ceps.1999.1020

28. Taylor, K. (1983). College fit theory and student development. Journal of Higher Education, 54(2), 133–149.

29. Tentsho, K., et al. (2009). Examining timely graduation rates of undergraduate students at Songkla University, Thailand. Asian Journal of Higher Education, 2(1), 45–58.

30. Tinto, V. (1993). Leaving college: Rethinking the causes and cures of student attrition (2nd ed.). University of Chicago Press. https://doi.org/10.7208/chicago/9780226922461.001.0001

31. Zhou, M. (2019). Revisiting college fit theory: Cultural considerations in East Asian higher education contexts. Higher Education Research & Development, 38(3), 654–668.

Downloads

Published

2026-07-30

Issue

Section

Original Peer-Reviewed Articles

How to Cite

Atwiine, J., & Ainembabazi, P. (2026). Determinants of Students’ Completion Rate in Institutions of Higher Learning: A Case Study of Bishop Stuart University, Mbarara: A cross-sectional, concurrent mixed-methods study. SJ Education Research Africa, 3(3), 12. https://doi.org/10.51168/bj620w47

Most read articles by the same author(s)

Similar Articles

11-20 of 105

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.